Lifeboat Foundation

What better way for Tesla to outdo itself than by dominating the motorcycle market as well!? — B.J. Murphy for Serious Wonder.

“Asia Blog spoke to Parata ahead of the launch of the Center for Global Education at Asia Society to discuss the importance of globally-minded future generations.”

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SEPTEMBER 15 — When it comes to making forecasts — whether it’s predicting the outcome of an election or determining whether a marriage will last — what good is intuition? Can our gut instincts guide us to correct outcomes, or are they too unreliable to be useful in a world ruled by data?

People can use intuition to make remarkably accurate predictions, social scientists have shown. In an experiment published earlier this year, for example, psychologists found that call-centre employees speaking with registered voters a week before an election could foresee with surprising accuracy which ones would flake out on their plans to vote. “It’s surprising to me because it’s such a short exchange for callers to be able to make useful inferences about whether respondents are actually going to do what they say,” the lead researcher, Todd Rogers, told me when the study was published. He cited other studies where ordinary people showed extraordinary abilities to intuit others’ personality traits, sexual orientation and racial attitudes.

At the same time, unconscious judgments can be contaminated with biases. Psychologist Daniel Kahneman laid out many of the perils of gut instinct in his 2011 best-seller “Thinking, Fast and Slow.” Among them are anchoring (being overly influenced by the first information you receive), hindsight bias (wrongly believing past events were predictable or predetermined), and the availability heuristic (giving too much weight to what you already know and not enough to what you know you need to look up).

Continue reading “How ‘superforecasters’ think about the future — Faye Flam” »

The EFTF Conferences first event in San Francisco. Lots of Lightning Rounds by industry luminaries, and local technologists on the future of technology. Profits from the conference will be donated to a Non-Profit focused using technology to help humanity through the use of new and emerging technology. This conference is about the future of technology, networking and how we can help each other with a holistic approach. Come join the conversation and the futurist trends and technology. There will be an after party but the location is still TBD (tickets for the party are seperate then general admission).

This time we have an exciting device bar and personal technology bar from watchs to cybernetic implants or just to plug in your personal hardware.

Nike’s Tinker Hatfield and Mark Parker created the original power-lacing sneakers for BTTF. Now go inside the lab where Nike just invented them for real.

“I think highly autonomous warfighting is certainly in the future.”

Yikes!

Russia could launch an attack on Europe within 48 hours, Donald Trump Jr. equates Syrian refugees with poisoned Skittles & other news.

Franky Zapata beat the #jetski easily! @frankyzapata #Flyboard #prowatercross Come out tomorrow for the Finals at the Flyboard World Cup Championship to see another Live demonstration in #NaplesFl!